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What additional check should we perform to verify if our estimated earnings are realistic?

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Profilbild von Marco-Alexander
bearbeitet am 5. Sept. 2021
Former BCG | Case author for efellows book | Experience in 6 consultancies (Stern Stewart, Capgemini, KPMG, VW Con., Hor

Profilbild von Ivan
am 5. Sept. 2019

Calculate historical ratios (earnings to sales, gross margin, operating margin, earnings per unit sold ...) and compare them against the forecasted ratios. Ceteris paribus, the forecasted ratios shouldn't devate much from the historical ones. 

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am 6. Sept. 2019
If it is a Market Size case, and the context about "guesstimates" (i think it is). First of all, you need to reconcile your answer (est. earnings) to baseline from which it was derived. Example: what % does estimated earnings take from total earnings? Secondly, - as i understand, you're always expected to provide recommendations how to make your estimation more relevant. I don't understand how it is possible to start calculate historical ratios on the case interview.