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Floyd
on Feb 28, 2021
Global
I want to receive updates regarding this question via email.

How would you estimate the market size for video games in the USA?

Hello everyone!

I would like to estimate the market size for video games in the USA. Howerver I don't know which approach is better, let me start:

1st Approach:. I would start estimating # Customers x Average spend per customer.

- To estimate the # customers I would estimate USA population x % that buys video games. 

- To estimate Average spend per customer I would estimate # video games per customer x Average price per game.

2nd Approach.  I would start calculating # videogames sold x Price per game.

- To estimate the # of videogames sold each year I would estimate # of videogames in the market x growth rate. To estimate # of videogames in the market I would estimate # people who buys games x # games per person. To estimate the # of people who buys games I would estimate USA population x % that buys games.

What do you think? I don't know if multiplying it by a growth rate is a good approach. My though process says multiplying it by the grow rate would tell me the # of games people buy each year which is different than the existing games in the market which is the first approach.

Thank you very much.

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Raj
Coach
on Feb 28, 2021
FREE 15MIN CONSULTATION | #1 Strategy& / OW coach | >70 5* reviews |90% offers ⇨ prep-success.super.site | MENA, DE, UK

There are many similar questions with useful answers on preplounge already, like below:

  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-would-you-go-about-calculating-how-many-solar-panels-are-used-in-a-country-9320
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-would-you-estimate-the-market-size-for-vegan-shampoos-in-the-uk-9150
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/b2b-market-sizing-no-b2c-8982
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-to-market-size-the-opportunity-for-stripe-9290
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-many-wealthy-people-are-in-the-uk-8819

Fundamentally the structure and approach will be equivalent in all these cases and in the example you have stated above.

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Ian
Coach
on Feb 28, 2021
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

Hi there,

Sorry but neither are right.

You need to segment the problem further.

"# video games per customer x Average price per game" is far too simplistic an approach!

You need to segment the population by the factor that you think most directly correlates with video game spend. In this case, it would clearly be age.

So, segment into 3-5 groups by age, estimate the % of each pop that would buy games THEN the avg spend those gorups would have. Then multiply it out.

Make sense?

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Clara
Coach
on Mar 01, 2021
McKinsey | Awarded professor at Master in Management @ IE | MBA at MIT |+180 students coached | Integrated FIT Guide aut

Hello!

I would go with approach #1, not only because it´s much simpler to "follow", but also because you will then have to make the calculations, and they are much easier in the 2nd case. 

At the end, this is a very typical market sizing case, where the key steps are: 

  • Calculate the total population
  • Calculate the % of population that could be interested in this product (this could be done by clustering -the classical ones are age groups, purchaching power, etc.-)
  •  

Hope it helps!

Cheers, 

Clara

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Anonymous A
on Jul 16, 2024

Betting on La Liga gives you access to a wide range of markets and is made even better by the competitive odds

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Aqsa
on Jul 27, 2024

The USA is itself a great marketplace for several games and most specifically Racing games like Car Parking Multiplayer, Asphalt Nitro, mod bb racing,etc.

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Market Sizing
Questions about market size are frequently asked in case interviews in consulting because they require a blend of logic, mathematics, and common sense. They can be asked as standalone questions or as part of a larger case. Applicants who are familiar with market sizing questions can really perform here. What Are Market Sizing Cases?If you're applying to top consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain, you're unlikely to escape a market estimation case. Market sizing cases are considered "back-of-the-envelope" calculations because they can be done on the back of an envelope. Despite the name, it's not just about estimating market sizes; other estimations may also be asked for.For example, if you're discussing a British clothing retailer's growth strategy, you could calculate on an envelope how large the online clothing market is and what percentage of the market the retailer already penetrates. If you perform these calculations quickly, the conversation with the client stays fluid, leaving a good impression.You can receive the question about market size as a standalone case (although this is less common) or as part of a more comprehensive problem, such as market entry. The good news: There's no right or wrong answer when it comes to the question of market size. The interviewer is less concerned about the specific number you come up with for the market than the approach you took to arrive at that number. Why Are Market Sizing Cases Commonly Used in Consulting Interviews?Market Sizing Cases are used to test your quantitative and logical abilities. The interviewer wants to ascertain whether you work well with numbers and if you can make informed assumptions and deal with ambiguities. Questions about market size aren't just about the size of markets; they also involve other types of estimations, such as the number of golf balls in a jumbo jet. As you may have noticed, math is crucial in tackling these questions since you don't have a calculator to rely on. Most importantly, you need to be comfortable dealing with large numbers like millions and billions as well as percentages. More on that later. How Do You Best Approach Market Sizing Cases?Now that we understand the theory behind Market Sizing Cases and their relevance to your case interview, let's take a closer look at the process.Segmentation – The Key to Market Sizing CasesIf you've done some reading on case interviews before delving into market sizing questions, you might have come across areas where segmentation is necessary. Segmenting data is a crucial skill you must master as both a candidate in a case interview and in your later career as a consultant. Segmentation generally refers to dividing a larger whole into smaller parts or segments. The principle you need to understand to do this correctly is the MECE principle.MECE stands for "mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive." Simply put, segmenting a group of data according to the MECE principle means forming subgroups that do not overlap but collectively cover the entirety of the data, meaning no data is missing. An example useful for market sizing questions is dividing a country's population into age groups (as different age groups often behave differently).Below is a breakdown into Group 1 in the age range 0 to 14, Group 2 in the age range 15 to 64, and Group 3 for everyone over 65: Note that none of the groups overlap, so no age is counted twice, but also no age is overlooked. Now that the population is correctly segmented, we can treat each group differently. If we had divided the population of the United Kingdom into the aforementioned groups, we could estimate clothing expenditures per person in these groups in online retail. Common sense suggests that expenditures per person in the 0-14 age group are lower than in the 15-64 age group. We can justify this estimation by noting that the majority of 0-14-year-olds do not purchase their clothing online. 
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