Can anyone explain this graph ? it's from Duke 2016 Special Steel case

Bain & Company MBB McKinsey
Edited on Apr 03, 2021
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Anonymous A asked on Apr 03, 2021

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Raj
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updated an answer on Apr 03, 2021
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This basically looks like a supply / demand graph (although with the price/quantity axes inverted).

I am guessing a VIM is 1 manufacturing plant (or furnace). The green line is demand which naturally drops off as prices get higher. The blue lines are supply (capacity) which naturally increase as prices get higher.

I would read this as there is excess supply to meet current demand based on expected prices - 3 VIMs at 75K = ~215K of capacity to meet 80K of demand at P=7 (current prices). Alternatively it could mean the 3 VIMs = 75K of capacity (more likely) in which case this a slight supply deficiency to meet current demand.

There will also be an significant increase in demand but supply capacity will only be brought online to meet this increase at a price of 12

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ry iio on Apr 05, 2021

Your explanation makes a lot of sense, Thanks!

Clara
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updated an answer on Apr 03, 2021
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Hello!

It´s an interesting case, indeed .

The first thing that catches my eye is that it seems like a classical demand-supply graph, but the axis here are inverted! Normally, you would have price in the Y, which makes it more interpreatable

Instead of reading it as "the higher the total production is, the higher the prices are", read it as "the higher the price becomes -for raw materials for instance-, the more suppliers supply -since it make sense internally only from certain thresholds onwards-. It´s pretty clear if you look at those graphs in the alluminium industry for instnace.

For this in particular, I would interpret it as that there is excess supply to meet the current demand with the expected prices - 3 VIMs at 75K.

Hope it helps!

Cheers,

Clara

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Ian
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updated an answer on Apr 03, 2021
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Hi there,

Tricky chart!

This is a classic supply/demand chart (normally in economics cases, not strategy ones)

There has clearly been a (positive) exogenous shock to demand that has shifted it right.In the meantime, the client has recognized this and planned for increased capacity.

The problem is this chart is bad economics. The axes should be reversed (quantity on the x-axis, price on the y-axis). Please read about supply/demand to understand how to understand this chart better..

There's the demand curve which indicates how many people would buy at a given price. Supply determines where these two curves meet, which sets the quantity supplied and the price.

You'll need to calculate the clients total profits a point A, B, and C to figure out how many VIMS they should have. The formula is as follows:

Revenue = Quantity (y-axis) X price per ton (x-axis)

Cost = Cost of each VIM X number of VIMs

You can also calculate marginal cost/revenue at each stage, to see where you start to lose money.

Supply Demand Curves

https://www.econlowdown.org/supply-and-demand?module_uid=120&section_uid=292&page_num=2610&p=yes

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Raj

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