PrepLounge - link to homepage PrepLounge - link to homepage
Finance Finance
Consulting Finance General
Login Sign up for free Sign up for free
Consulting Finance General
Community
Meeting Board
Finance Q&A
Interview Partner
Premium Membership
Coaching
Resources
Finance Interview Basics
Finance Blog
Case Library
Tests & Guides
Mental Math Tool
Stress Questions
Drills
Brainteaser
Sign up for free
Login
Community
Meeting Board
Finance Q&A
Interview Partner
Premium Membership
Coaching
Resources
Finance Interview Basics
Finance Blog
Case Library
Tests & Guides
Mental Math Tool
Stress Questions
Drills
Brainteaser
Schedule mock interviews on the Meeting Board, join the latest community discussions in our Consulting Q&A and find like-minded Interview Partners to connect and practice with!
Meeting Board
Finance Q&A
Interview Partner
Premium Membership
Back to overview
Anonymous A
on Nov 15, 2020
Global
I want to receive updates regarding this question via email.

Segmenting by age groups for market sizing?

Hey guys, 

could some of you give me their methods of segmenting people per age groups? Is it reasonable to assume that groups of equal age length (say 0-20, 20-40 ... etc.) have a somewhat equal proportion of people in it? 

I know that in western countries the distribution might be slightly skewed as there is a greater percentage of elderly people. However, in my opinion this would make the sizing too sophisticated. What I would do is that I would acknowledge that the distribution might not be evenely and that there might be a greater proportion of elderly but I would think that for coming up with a quick market sizie it is sufficient to build on that assumption. 

Is that good?

9
8.9k
109
Write an answer
Be the first to answer!
Nobody has responded to this question yet.
Top answer
Pankaj
Coach
on Nov 15, 2020
Bain Manager and Ex- Accenture | >5 years of coaching experience | Experienced Interviewer | Personalised coaching

It is usually fine to assume that population is distributed evenly by age. However, some countries are well-known for having a younger or older demographics. If you get a sizing case for such a market, it is usually a good idea to tweak the assumptions slightly or atleast show the interviewer you're aware of these nuances.

  • For example, sizing the smartphone market in India, and doing a segmentation by age, you can assume that age <30 is 50% of population (median age is 28), and assume an even split for >30 population. It might look something like <15 (25%), 15-30 (25%), 30-50 (20%), 50-70 (20%), >70 (10%). 
  • Similarly, if you get a question for Japan (median age is 50 i think), you can assume >50 population to be 50% and <50 to be remaining 50% and divide evenly within that.

The intent is to differentiate yourself in an interview by showing that you're aware of these nuances. It is perfectly ok for you to just mention these factors, and align with the interviewer that you are going to make simplifying assumption of dividing population evenly by age.

Was this helpful?

18
Contact coach
0 comments
Deleted user
on Nov 15, 2020

Hey there,

Ideally this will depend on the country/geography and population sizes and which industry you are looking at e.g. social media users or shampoo users. I advise following options depending the case/industry that you get given:

1. Age ranges by life cycle stages: babies, children, adolescents, adults, middle-age, and seniors

2. Generation-based: Baby boomers, Gen X, Millennials, Gen Z 

Use common sense and keep it simple. You are not expected to come up with very precise ages ranges.

17
0 comments
Ian
Coach
on Nov 15, 2020
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

Hi there

You cannot assume the age groups are the same

Part of market sizing is being able to determine which segments (whichever they may be) are different based on what you know of the world.

If you're market sizing for India, you need to recognize that half the population is young.

If you're market sizing for Japan, you need to realize that half the population is old.

If you don't do this, you will 100% be dinged.

One other people of advice: Try not to do 0-20, 20-40, 40-60, 60-80, 80+. This overcomplicates! just do young, middle-aged, old

15
Contact coach
0 comments
Ken
Coach
on Nov 15, 2020
Ex-McKinsey final round interviewer | Executive Coach

I think it comes down to what you are solving for where you want to make sure your increments are relevant to the problem (e.g., child, adult, vs. elderly population, etc.). From a pure math perspective, equal age increments makes things more simple so that would be my default. The geographic nuances and other assumptions are important to share upfront with your interviewer who should also give guidance if they want you to segment differently.

8
Contact coach
0 comments
Francesco
Coach
on Nov 16, 2020
#1 Coach for Sessions (4.500+) | 1.500+ 5-Star Reviews | Proven Success: ➡ interviewoffers.com | Ex BCG | 10Y+ Coaching

Hi there,

Yes, your approach is totally fine.

If the country is skewed on young/old, just mention to the interviewer you know the population is skewed and ask confirmation if it is fine to split equally.

Most of the time they will say it is fine and you can continue without complications.

Best,
Francesco

1
Contact coach
0 comments
Antonello
Coach
on Dec 31, 2020
McKinsey | NASA | top 10 FT MBA professor for consulting interviews | 6+ years of coaching

Hi, in addition to the solutions proposed by the other coaches in the discussion, I would like to suggest similar cases in the platform to practice with:

  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-much-would-you-charge-to-clean-all-the-windows-in-seattle-4965
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/market-sizing-milk-consumption-5087
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-would-you-calculate-the-value-of-a-cow-4982
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/estimate-number-of-traffic-lights-in-a-london-5692

Hope it helps,
Antonello

1
Contact coach
0 comments
Clara
Coach
on Nov 16, 2020
McKinsey | Awarded professor at Master in Management @ IE | MBA at MIT |+180 students coached | Integrated FIT Guide aut

Hello!

Indeed, the good thing about segmenting is the fact that those groups: 

  1. Don´t act/react them same: so you can tailor the approach
  2. They are not evenly distributed: if you look at the population pyramid, it has totally nothing to do in developped vs. delopping countries. You can easily see a couple in Google, that will suffice to get the idea. 

Hope it helps!

Cheers,

Clara

0
Contact coach
0 comments
Gaurav
Coach
on Nov 17, 2020
#1 MBB Coach(Placed 750+ in MBBs & 1250+ in Tier2)| The Only 360° coach(Ex-McKinsey+Certified Coach+Active recruiter)

Hi there!
Segmentation by age groups can be strikingly different under factors such as marital status (a mother of 25 and a woman without a child have a lot of differences in behavior), work, financial wealth, and geography.
but, more often than not, the following groups have the most common features of behavior:
16-18, 18-21, 21-25, 25-30, 30-35, 40-45, 45 - 60, 60 and above
There may be other variations, very often used:
12-17, 18-24, 25 - 34, 35-45, 45 - 55, 55 and above
 
Each country has very different demographic indicators, so different groups may have completely different percentages of the population. 

Was it helpful?
GB

0
Contact coach
0 comments
Udayan
Coach
edited on Nov 19, 2020
Top rated Case & PEI coach/Multiple real offers/McKinsey EM in New York /12 years recruiting experience

The entire point of estimation techniques is to quickly get to a reasonable answer with reasonable assumptions. It is totally acceptable to assume equal distribution as long as you state that you are doing so and why (e.g., for ease of calculation). If the interviewer does not agree they will ask you to change your approach. Yes it is not perfect but with clear communication you will get the direction you need from the interviewer.

Udayan

0
Contact coach
0 comments
Sign up for free to read all answers.
Sign up for free to read all answers.
Yes, I would like to be informed about new content, exciting jobs, relevant events, and selected employers.
By creating an account, I confirm that I agree to PrepLounge's Terms of Use. Please read our Privacy Policy.
Sign up with
You already have an account? Log in here.
Similar Questions
Consulting
Market Sizing Urgent Help!!
on Jul 31, 2024
Global
3
700+
18
3 Answers
700+ Views
Consulting
Market Sizing Urgent Help Bis!!!!!
on Jul 31, 2024
Global
4
900+
30
4 Answers
900+ Views
Consulting
Market Sizing questions
on Jul 31, 2024
Global
2
900+
22
2 Answers
900+ Views
Consulting
Please help - Partner round market sizing: number of cars sold last year
on Aug 09, 2024
Global
4
900+
20
4 Answers
900+ Views
Consulting
Guesstimate question - number of airplanes in the sky
on Aug 20, 2024
Global
4
2.4k
56
4 Answers
2.4k Views
Consulting
Market sizing Building a mall Profit
on Aug 23, 2024
Global
4
900+
48
4 Answers
900+ Views
Consulting
How would you approach this market entry case
on Aug 27, 2024
Global
4
1.3k
66
4 Answers
1.3k Views
Consulting
market sizing
on Oct 07, 2024
Global
4
1.1k
45
4 Answers
1.1k Views
Consulting
Theme Park Market Sizing
on Oct 18, 2024
Global
3
1.2k
49
3 Answers
1.2k Views
Consulting
How to spot the type of market sizing approach
on Oct 21, 2024
Global
2
800+
23
2 Answers
800+ Views
Consulting
How to do deeper research on consulting firms?
on Nov 23, 2024
Global
8
1.3k
52
8 Answers
1.3k Views
Consulting
How to estimate the market size of the European bicycle market?
on Nov 28, 2024
Global
5
1.4k
37
5 Answers
1.4k Views
Consulting
How Big Should Your Theme Park’s Audience Be?
on Dec 01, 2024
Global
3
500+
39
3 Answers
500+ Views
Consulting
Could someone help me with a high level framework for this prompt?
on Jan 19, 2025
Global
5
1.1k
28
5 Answers
1.1k Views
Consulting
Clarifying the Scope of Activities for a PEPI Analyst Role
on Jan 27, 2025
Global
5
800+
15
5 Answers
800+ Views
Consulting
Question about
Case
Wie berechne ich den current market growth der USA?
on Jan 31, 2025
Global
3
600+
13
3 Answers
600+ Views
Consulting
How to avoid excessive detail when market sizing?
on Apr 21, 2025
Global
5
800+
15
5 Answers
800+ Views
Consulting
Help - Market Sizing is always off by a 2-3 multiple
on Jun 05, 2025
Global
8
300+
15
8 Answers
300+ Views
Consulting
Market sizing question
on Jul 09, 2025
Global
7
100+
8
7 Answers
100+ Views
Consulting
Question about
Case
Why would US market be better from growth perspective than Indonesia
on Jul 11, 2025
Global
2
100+
6
2 Answers
100+ Views
Show more
Top Answer by
Pankaj
Coach
Bain Manager and Ex- Accenture | >5 years of coaching experience | Experienced Interviewer | Personalised coaching
Related Article
Market Sizing
Questions about market size are frequently asked in case interviews in consulting because they require a blend of logic, mathematics, and common sense. They can be asked as standalone questions or as part of a larger case. Applicants who are familiar with market sizing questions can really perform here. What Are Market Sizing Cases?If you're applying to top consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain, you're unlikely to escape a market estimation case. Market sizing cases are considered "back-of-the-envelope" calculations because they can be done on the back of an envelope. Despite the name, it's not just about estimating market sizes; other estimations may also be asked for.For example, if you're discussing a British clothing retailer's growth strategy, you could calculate on an envelope how large the online clothing market is and what percentage of the market the retailer already penetrates. If you perform these calculations quickly, the conversation with the client stays fluid, leaving a good impression.You can receive the question about market size as a standalone case (although this is less common) or as part of a more comprehensive problem, such as market entry. The good news: There's no right or wrong answer when it comes to the question of market size. The interviewer is less concerned about the specific number you come up with for the market than the approach you took to arrive at that number. Why Are Market Sizing Cases Commonly Used in Consulting Interviews?Market Sizing Cases are used to test your quantitative and logical abilities. The interviewer wants to ascertain whether you work well with numbers and if you can make informed assumptions and deal with ambiguities. Questions about market size aren't just about the size of markets; they also involve other types of estimations, such as the number of golf balls in a jumbo jet. As you may have noticed, math is crucial in tackling these questions since you don't have a calculator to rely on. Most importantly, you need to be comfortable dealing with large numbers like millions and billions as well as percentages. More on that later. How Do You Best Approach Market Sizing Cases?Now that we understand the theory behind Market Sizing Cases and their relevance to your case interview, let's take a closer look at the process.Segmentation – The Key to Market Sizing CasesIf you've done some reading on case interviews before delving into market sizing questions, you might have come across areas where segmentation is necessary. Segmenting data is a crucial skill you must master as both a candidate in a case interview and in your later career as a consultant. Segmentation generally refers to dividing a larger whole into smaller parts or segments. The principle you need to understand to do this correctly is the MECE principle.MECE stands for "mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive." Simply put, segmenting a group of data according to the MECE principle means forming subgroups that do not overlap but collectively cover the entirety of the data, meaning no data is missing. An example useful for market sizing questions is dividing a country's population into age groups (as different age groups often behave differently).Below is a breakdown into Group 1 in the age range 0 to 14, Group 2 in the age range 15 to 64, and Group 3 for everyone over 65: Note that none of the groups overlap, so no age is counted twice, but also no age is overlooked. Now that the population is correctly segmented, we can treat each group differently. If we had divided the population of the United Kingdom into the aforementioned groups, we could estimate clothing expenditures per person in these groups in online retail. Common sense suggests that expenditures per person in the 0-14 age group are lower than in the 15-64 age group. We can justify this estimation by noting that the majority of 0-14-year-olds do not purchase their clothing online. 
View article
Related Case
Expert case by
Hagen
Grocery Wholesaler
5.0
13.3k times solved
Intermediate
Candidate-led
Open case
Similar Questions
Consulting
Market Sizing Urgent Help!!
on Jul 31, 2024
18
3
700+
Consulting
Market Sizing Urgent Help Bis!!!!!
on Jul 31, 2024
30
4
900+
Consulting
Market Sizing questions
on Jul 31, 2024
22
2
900+
Consulting
Please help - Partner round market sizing: number of cars sold last year
on Aug 09, 2024
20
4
900+
Consulting
Guesstimate question - number of airplanes in the sky
on Aug 20, 2024
56
4
2.4k
Consulting
Market sizing Building a mall Profit
on Aug 23, 2024
48
4
900+
Consulting
How would you approach this market entry case
on Aug 27, 2024
66
4
1.3k
Consulting
market sizing
on Oct 07, 2024
45
4
1.1k
Consulting
Theme Park Market Sizing
on Oct 18, 2024
49
3
1.2k
Consulting
How to spot the type of market sizing approach
on Oct 21, 2024
23
2
800+
Consulting
How to do deeper research on consulting firms?
on Nov 23, 2024
52
8
1.3k
Consulting
How to estimate the market size of the European bicycle market?
on Nov 28, 2024
37
5
1.4k
Consulting
How Big Should Your Theme Park’s Audience Be?
on Dec 01, 2024
39
3
500+
Consulting
Could someone help me with a high level framework for this prompt?
on Jan 19, 2025
28
5
1.1k
Consulting
Clarifying the Scope of Activities for a PEPI Analyst Role
on Jan 27, 2025
15
5
800+
Consulting
Question about
Case
Wie berechne ich den current market growth der USA?
on Jan 31, 2025
13
3
600+
Consulting
How to avoid excessive detail when market sizing?
on Apr 21, 2025
15
5
800+
Consulting
Help - Market Sizing is always off by a 2-3 multiple
on Jun 05, 2025
15
8
300+
Consulting
Market sizing question
on Jul 09, 2025
8
7
100+
Consulting
Question about
Case
Why would US market be better from growth perspective than Indonesia
on Jul 11, 2025
6
2
100+
Show more
Questions by Categories
Questions about MBB
CV Questions
Personal Fit Questions
Everything for Your Career
  • Interview Coaching
  • Q&A
  • Interview Partner
  • Mental Math Tool
  • Interview Drills
  • Stress Questions
  • Blog
Everything for Your Career
  • Interview Coaching
  • Q&A
  • Interview Partner
  • Mental Math Tool
  • Interview Drills
  • Stress Questions
  • Blog
Popular in Consulting
  • Case Library
  • Meeting Board
  • Interview Partner
  • Case Interview Basics
  • Case Interview
  • Consulting Q&A
Popular in Finance
  • Finance Q&A
  • Interview in Investment Banking
  • Investment Banking Salaries
Popular in Consulting
  • Case Library
  • Meeting Board
  • Interview Partner
  • Case Interview Basics
  • Case Interview
  • Consulting Q&A
Popular in Finance
  • Finance Q&A
  • Interview in Investment Banking
  • Investment Banking Salaries
Consulting and Finance Employers
  • RWE Consulting
  • Whiteshield Advisory
  • All Employers »
About PrepLounge
  • For Companies
  • For Universities
  • For Coaches
  • About Us
  • Career
  • FAQ
© 2012 PrepLounge
Our servers are powered by electricity from renewable sources.
  • Cookies & Privacy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Imprint
  • Sitemap
  • Contact
Facebook Linkedin Instagram TikTok Youtube
Questions or Feedback?
Select category
  • Select category
  • General Feedback
  • Case Interview Preparation
  • Coaching
  • Technical Problems
  • Other
Your name
Your email address
Cancel