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Anonymous A
on Apr 24, 2023
Global
I want to receive updates regarding this question via email.

NPV calculation

This is from a casebook on whether a zoo should buy a zebra. below is info on revenue and cost. 

Revenue:

•300K people visit the zoo annually; admission is $15 per person

•Benefits from zebra acquisition could lead to increased attendance. Another zoo that acquired a similar zebra had an 8% increase.

Costs from zebra acquisition:

•Immediate costs: Acquisition cost ($235K), new facilities ($850K), transportation ($110K)

•Annual maintenances: Food, health costs, and additional trainers ($90K)

•Discount rate = 20%, Assume that the immediate costs are paid today, and annual costs and benefits are realized beginning next year and sustained into perpetuity, even though the Zebra will not live on to perpetuity.

The answer is this: 

Annual benefits = (300K)*($15)*(0.08) = $360K

•Upfront costs = $235K + $850K + $110K = $1.195M

•Annual costs = $90K

•NPV = -$1,195K + (($360K -$90K)/0.20) = $155K

My question: shouldn't the NPV = -$1,195k + (($360k-$90k)/1.2)=-970k if the zebra will not live on to perpetuity?

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Top answer
Francesco
Coach
on Apr 24, 2023
#1 Coach for Sessions (4.500+) | 1.500+ 5-Star Reviews | Proven Success: ➡ interviewoffers.com | Ex BCG | 10Y+ Coaching

Hi there,

Q: My question: shouldn't the NPV = -$1,195k + (($360k-$90k)/1.2)=-970k if the zebra will not live on to perpetuity?

Your formula would be correct if the costs and benefits would just be realized the year after the immediate costs. However, the prompt says that the costs and benefits are realized in perpetuity.

When that’s the case, the value generated by an asset in perpetuity can be calculated with the perpetuity formula as follows:

  • V=FCF/(r-g)

Where

  • V = Value of the asset
  • FCF = Free cash flow
  • r= Discount rate
  • g= Growth rate of FCF

So the denominator in this case is r (discount rate) given g=0, and not (1+r).

The previous formula for the value of an asset in perpetuity is equivalent to the following:

 

You can check that using n=1 (that is the value for 1 year only after the immediate cost) you would get your formula. In this particular case, you would then have to add the immediate cost that would happen in n=0.

You can find a more detailed analysis of the perpetuity formula at the link below:

▶ How to Find the Net Present Value of a Company

Hope this helps,

Francesco

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Ian
Coach
on Apr 24, 2023
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

What a fantastic answer by Francesco. Can't beat that one :)

HEre are a few key things to keep in mind with NPV…these trip up a lot of candidates:

  • Make sure you understand annuity (year by year) versus perpituity
  • Remember that g (growth) is the growth rate on the cash flows themselves (the denominator)
  • R = discount rate which can be multiple things (hurdle rate, interest rate, etc.)
  • NPV already inherently accounts for alternative investment options
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Pedro
Coach
on Apr 26, 2023
Bain | EY-Parthenon | Former Principal | 1.5h session | 30% discount 1st session

Hi there,

Just wanted to highlight that while you should know NPV, this type of cases is a deviation from what is expected in strategy case interviews.

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Related Article
Net Present Value - NPV
Net Present Value (NPV) is the sum of all discounted future cash flows of a project or investment. These discounted cash flows are referred to as Present Values (PVs). NPV allows us to calculate the current value of money to be received or paid at different points in the future, helping determine the profitability of an investment. If the NPV is positive, the project generates value. A negative NPV, on the other hand, suggests a loss. The Time Value of Money – An Intuitive and Financial ExplanationThe time value of money reflects the principle that money today is worth more than the same amount in the future because it can be invested and earn interest. There are two ways to explain this concept:Intuitive Explanation: People prefer to have money now rather than later because it involves less risk. For example, would you rather have €100 today or in a year? Most would choose today, as future payments come with uncertainty, like inflation or the risk of default.Financial Explanation: If you have €100 today, you could invest it at a 2% interest rate and have €102 in a year. To find the present value of €102 in one year, you divide it by 1.02, which gives you €100. This shows how future cash flows are discounted to their present value. Calculating Net Present Value (NPV)NPV is calculated as the sum of all discounted future cash flows. The present value (PV) of a single future cash flow is given by the following formula:PV: Present value of a future cash flowFV: Future value of the cash flowi: Discount rate or interest rate per periodn: Number of periods between now and the future cash flowThe Net Present Value (NPV) is the sum of all these present values (PVs) for the project's future cash flows:CF_t: Cash flow in year ti: Discount raten: Number of periodsIf the NPV is positive, the discounted cash flows exceed the initial investment, indicating the project is profitable. A negative NPV suggests that the project will result in a net loss.Example of NPV CalculationLet’s say you receive €102 in one year and €102 in two years with a discount rate of 2%. The present value of the first cash flow is:The present value of the second cash flow is:The total NPV of this investment is the sum of the present values: Applying the NPV in Case InterviewsIn case interviews, it is unlikely that you will need to perform a complex NPV calculation, as such calculations can be time-consuming. However, there are some useful shortcuts and concepts that you can apply to argue effectively and efficiently.NPV for Infinite Cash FlowsFor infinite cash flows (perpetuity), where a company or investment generates constant profits over an indefinite period of time, a simplified NPV formula can be used:Here, CF stands for the constant annual cash flow and r for the discount rate.Example: A company generates € 100 per year and the discount rate is 4%:If the company grows at an annual rate of 2 %, the formula is as follows:Where g stands for the growth rate.Example calculation:💡 Prep tip: In case interviews, you don't have a calculator to hand. To calculate the simplified version of the NPV calculation in your head, you should be able to do the basic types of calculation. Use our mental math tool to brush up on your skills!
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