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Anonymous A
on Sep 26, 2021
Global
I want to receive updates regarding this question via email.

Market sizing: do I explain my approach first before talking about the number?

Hi there! I just started learning about case interview and I hope that somebody could help me out here! I am confused about how we do market sizing in the actual interview. I read that we should plan our approach first before jumping into the math, but when I go through the question with the interviewer, do I talk about my approach and the numbers separately? As in:

1) go through my approach from the beginning till the end first, and then repeat again with the numbers?

2) go through my approach and at the same time, mention the numbers as well?

Thankyou!

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Deleted user
on Sep 27, 2021

Hello,

It would depend on the level of detail you are going for in the market sizing, and honestly either of the approaches you outlined could be effective in different situations. Generally I recommend going for #1 for the same reasons most of the other experts have mentioned here. It might feel a bit awkward at first, but generally makes for a smoother and more structured approach to the problem.

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Ian
Coach
on Sep 26, 2021
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

Hi there,

While it does depend a bit on the exact structure of the market sizng (i.e. level of complexity), generally approach #1 is best.

Now, when going through the approach + numbers the key is that you are efficient in the way you articulate your structure/numbers. Try to list sections out together instead of saying each and every branch/number on its own.

Make sense?

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Agrim
Coach
on Sep 26, 2021
Top Awarded Coach | BCG Dubai Project Leader | Master Casing in only 3 Hours | 10y in Consulting | Free Intro Call

Ideally the approach should be the following:

  • Explain the high-level conceptual approach without specific steps - in 1-2 statements
  • Then explain the approach in more detail with focus on the key drivers, levers, and some of the math concepts that would go into it
  • Then run through it again with the numbers in place - the numbers you can also calculate as you go rather than baking everything in the first 2 minutes of thinking time.
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Udayan
Coach
on Sep 26, 2021
Top rated Case & PEI coach/Multiple real offers/McKinsey EM in New York /12 years recruiting experience

The simplest way I have found is to outline your approach first with the interviewer. Ask them if this approach works, once they are on board then go ahead and make the necessary calculations required. 

You do not have to keep walking them through the approach, once is more than sufficient.

Best,

Udayan

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Francesco
Coach
on Sep 27, 2021
#1 Coach for Sessions (4.500+) | 1.500+ 5-Star Reviews | Proven Success: ➡ interviewoffers.com | Ex BCG | 10Y+ Coaching

Hi there,

I agree with the other comments, option #1 is better.

In market sizing you do the same thing that you do in math in a case: you first present the theory, then add the numbers.

I think Agrim explained very well the approach to follow and that’s the approach I would suggest: 

  1. First level of the structure
  2. Details on subcomponents
  3. Add the numbers

Best,

Francesco

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Slawomir
Coach
on Sep 26, 2021
Former McK interviewer, PhD who successfully transitioned from Academia, received offers from McK/BCG/Bain/LEK

Hello,

I can see your doubts as option 1 (in my opinion recommended) sounds a bit repetitive and thus artificial. However, it has benefits for the candidate as well as for the interviewer.

It separates conceptual thinking from estimating the numbers and performing math (and we always try to break down complex problems into series of simpler ones).

From the interviewer's point of view: when I see a problem with the approach, I can steer the candidate in the right direction before he/she becomes too entangled in the solving process.

Once we have an agreement as to the process, it's easier to troubleshoot in case the solution seems odd. Simply check the math and if that's correct then rethink assumptions.

I encourage you to practice in these 3 steps - should become more natural in a while.

Best,

Slawomir

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Pedro
Coach
on Sep 26, 2021
Bain | EY-Parthenon | Former Principal | 1.5h session | 30% discount 1st session

Yes, you should definitely follow aproach #1. 

This is always the rule in case interview: first explain how you think, then execute. 

Therefore, you first explain your approach to the interviewer and ensure that he understands it and agrees with it. Then you present your assumptions in a pragmatic way. Then you execute. 

If you start presenting the structure and the numbers together, I will be under the impression that you are jumping into execution without having actually thought through your whole struture, and that is a clear negative. It's not just worse communication, it also suggests a suboptimal way of thinking.

In my experience candidates do less mistakes, communication is more clear, and you actually get to the end result faster. And there are absolutely no doubts that you are strucutured in how you think and in how you solve problems.

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Antonello
Coach
on Sep 27, 2021
McKinsey | NASA | top 10 FT MBA professor for consulting interviews | 6+ years of coaching

Hi!

Definitely go for approach #1.

Good luck with your preparation.

Best,

Anto

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Cristian
Coach
on Sep 27, 2021
#1 rated McKinsey Coach | top MBB coach

Definitely 1. Always always go through the approach. It’s helpful for multiple reasons.

First, you validate your thinking with the interviewer. It all resembles a real conversation you might have with the client. As long as they go with the reasoning, they will go with the answer.

Secondly, it helps you because you basically separate two cognitive tasks : structuring and calculating. If the structuring is fine, then you know you only have to worry about the numbers now

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Questions about market size are frequently asked in case interviews in consulting because they require a blend of logic, mathematics, and common sense. They can be asked as standalone questions or as part of a larger case. Applicants who are familiar with market sizing questions can really perform here. What Are Market Sizing Cases?If you're applying to top consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain, you're unlikely to escape a market estimation case. Market sizing cases are considered "back-of-the-envelope" calculations because they can be done on the back of an envelope. Despite the name, it's not just about estimating market sizes; other estimations may also be asked for.For example, if you're discussing a British clothing retailer's growth strategy, you could calculate on an envelope how large the online clothing market is and what percentage of the market the retailer already penetrates. If you perform these calculations quickly, the conversation with the client stays fluid, leaving a good impression.You can receive the question about market size as a standalone case (although this is less common) or as part of a more comprehensive problem, such as market entry. The good news: There's no right or wrong answer when it comes to the question of market size. The interviewer is less concerned about the specific number you come up with for the market than the approach you took to arrive at that number. Why Are Market Sizing Cases Commonly Used in Consulting Interviews?Market Sizing Cases are used to test your quantitative and logical abilities. The interviewer wants to ascertain whether you work well with numbers and if you can make informed assumptions and deal with ambiguities. Questions about market size aren't just about the size of markets; they also involve other types of estimations, such as the number of golf balls in a jumbo jet. As you may have noticed, math is crucial in tackling these questions since you don't have a calculator to rely on. Most importantly, you need to be comfortable dealing with large numbers like millions and billions as well as percentages. More on that later. How Do You Best Approach Market Sizing Cases?Now that we understand the theory behind Market Sizing Cases and their relevance to your case interview, let's take a closer look at the process.Segmentation – The Key to Market Sizing CasesIf you've done some reading on case interviews before delving into market sizing questions, you might have come across areas where segmentation is necessary. Segmenting data is a crucial skill you must master as both a candidate in a case interview and in your later career as a consultant. Segmentation generally refers to dividing a larger whole into smaller parts or segments. The principle you need to understand to do this correctly is the MECE principle.MECE stands for "mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive." Simply put, segmenting a group of data according to the MECE principle means forming subgroups that do not overlap but collectively cover the entirety of the data, meaning no data is missing. An example useful for market sizing questions is dividing a country's population into age groups (as different age groups often behave differently).Below is a breakdown into Group 1 in the age range 0 to 14, Group 2 in the age range 15 to 64, and Group 3 for everyone over 65: Note that none of the groups overlap, so no age is counted twice, but also no age is overlooked. Now that the population is correctly segmented, we can treat each group differently. If we had divided the population of the United Kingdom into the aforementioned groups, we could estimate clothing expenditures per person in these groups in online retail. Common sense suggests that expenditures per person in the 0-14 age group are lower than in the 15-64 age group. We can justify this estimation by noting that the majority of 0-14-year-olds do not purchase their clothing online. 
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