Hi everyone! I stumbled across this case: how many self-driving cars are needed to replace the public transportation system in a city
How would you solve this? I find it quite tricky.
Hi everyone! I stumbled across this case: how many self-driving cars are needed to replace the public transportation system in a city
How would you solve this? I find it quite tricky.
Interesting question! If you actually want to learn how to do these kind of estimations, try to come up with some structure to do the estimation, there is a lot of learning in that compared to just reading other peoples thoughts.
Some important steps I would consider are:
-How many people are currently using public transportation?
Linked to that are some important subquestions: What are the modes of transportation? Why are they taking these modes of transportation? And how does the demand vary over the day?
-How many self driving cars do we need to meet this current demand?
How many people fit into self-driving cars? Do we also have self-driving buses? Are people willing to rideshare? And maybe most importantly how can we make sure that the capacity is sufficient to account for peaks in demand (e.g. rush hour)
-Do we need to factor in that the availability of self-driving cars will change the behaviour of other people? E.g. If I used to ride my bike, I might now take a self-driving car to work
Hope this helps!
Hi,
What's your approach?
A quick tip - start with calculating the demand in peak hour:
The total supply of self driving cars = the supply to cover the demand + safety stock
Make an assumption on how many seats the cars will have and how many rides can be shared
Take into account the cannibalization - it may be the case that car owners will switch as well.
Best!