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Anonymous A
on Jun 05, 2020
Global
I want to receive updates regarding this question via email.

Are Estimations/Market Sizing questions still being used?

Hello there,

I've heard estimations/market sizing questions where not being tested anymore at McKinsey interviews. I wanted to know if this is true and if you know if they are still being used in BCG and Bain. It would be very helpful to plan better my preparation.

Thanks!

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Top answer
Robert
Coach
on Jun 06, 2020
McKinsey offers w/o final round interviews - 100% risk-free - 10+ years MBB coaching experience - Multiple book author

Hi Anonymous,

It's a rare exception at McKinsey that you will be asked a pure market sizing question - it won't give me that much of an insight, compared to a full-blown case interview.

However, market-sizing questions might well be incorporated into an overall case, so definitely you need to be prepared for that.

The only known situation I can think of a pure market-sizing question is on top of a case interview, in case I finished a bit earlier than expected and still want to use a few minutes of time for further/better evaluation of a candidate.

To my knowledge same situation for BCG ain Bain.

Hope that helps - if so, please be so kind and give it a thumbs-up with the green upvote button below!

Robert

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Udayan
Coach
on Jun 07, 2020
Top rated Case & PEI coach/Multiple real offers/McKinsey EM in New York /12 years recruiting experience

Yes they are - it's not as common and often buried within a case but they are definitely a tool that people use.

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Coach
on Jun 06, 2020
Dubai|5+ years | Activity on hold

Hi there,

Market sizing is a core tool for interviewers to test your logical structure and math skills - they are still being tested. (they would be a small element of a larger case - example: growth strategy framework - after you define your structure and decide on a growth option, you would have to estimate that market size for that new market/product)

So make sure you practice the different variations of market sizing cases.

Feel free to reach out for any specific tips.

Best

Khaled

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Luca
Coach
on Jun 06, 2020
BCG |NASA | SDA Bocconi & Cattolica partner | GMAT expert 780/800 score | 200+ students coached

Hello,

I can confirm not only that they are still used, but they are also really common (also in McKinsey). It depends on the office and country, but in some of them market sizing, sometimes embedded in more complex cases, are the most common cases.

Feel free to text me for some real examples.

Best,
Luca

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Coach
on Jun 06, 2020
3+ years McKinsey consulting experience|Strategy @ Coursera |Oxford MBA

Hi, 

I haven't heard anyone receiving such questions in McKinsey interviews in a very long time. But it's still worth practicing them because they might come up as part of other case types e.g., estimating the demand for a product / service in an opportunity assessment case. 

Best,

Réka

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Francesco
Coach
on Jun 06, 2020
#1 Coach for Sessions (4.500+) | 1.500+ 5-Star Reviews | Proven Success: ➡ interviewoffers.com | Ex BCG | 10Y+ Coaching

Hi there,

market sizing questions are still asked at McKinsey. However, while they are relatively common in few geographies such as Italy, they are quite rare in others.

They are also still used at BCG and Bain, also in this case the frequency depends on the geography.

Best,
Francesco

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Ian
Coach
edited on Aug 26, 2021
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

Hi there,

They definitely are!

Remember, they may not come in the form of "Please estimate the number of taxis in NYC". Rather, they are much more likely to be embedded in a case. For example, you might have a market entry case that requires market sizing to determine the largest market (or the # of units we could sell in the market).

I have a number of cases like this so please feel free to shoot me a message!

Take a look here for additional practice! https://www.preplounge.com/en/management-consulting-cases/brain-teaser/intermediate/taxis-in-manhattan-market-sizing-229

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Emily
Coach
on Jun 06, 2020
9 years in MBB Southeast Asia & China| 8 years as MBB interviewer | Free intro call

Short answer - yes it can still be used. 

It is rarely the only question you'd get in the interview though. More often it is embedded within a case interview. E.g. the case can be regarding to hotel industry turnaround, and during the case, the interviewer asks you to estimate the total market impact (say COVID made) on the hotel industry, before asking you how you can help the major to revive the industry. 

Best,

Emily

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Coach
on Jun 06, 2020
Bain Consultant | Interviewer for 3 years at Bain |Passionate about coaching |I will make you a case interview Rockstar

Hi,

Yes, market sizing is a very common case form but less commonly as a standalone case. From a Bain perspective, they are commonly included in a wider private equity case. The reason Bain likes this case type is that it tests your ability to break down the drivers of a market which is very similar to the task of building a market model for a PE diligence. 

- A 

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Deleted user
on Jun 05, 2020

Hi some consulting firms are still using market sizings (e.g. Oliver Wyman or RB). At BCG for example, maket sizings are however included in classical cases.

Best

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Vlad
Coach
on Jun 07, 2020
McKinsey / Accenture Alum / Got all BIG3 offers / Harvard Business School

Hi,

That's not true. They are used pretty frequently both as standalone cases and as part of the bigger case.

Most of the partners give their own favorite cases and I can't imagine anyone coming to them and saying: "We are not using market sizing cases anymore"

Best

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Anrian
Coach
on Jun 07, 2020
Ex Kearney Senior Manager | Ex McKinsey Engagement Manager | Interviewer & Case Coach at McKinsey (200+ Real Interviews)

Hi There,

First of all, it is not true that market sizing is not being tested anymore at McKinsey. I know a lot of Partners are still using it quite often in the final round.

While for 1st round (EM and Associate), it appeared as a math question which is part of the case (e.g., here is the fact, how many cars the client need to sell to cover the investment?) rather than a straight forward market sizing estimation (e.g., how many cars are there in Eastern Europe?).

As for BCG and Bain, it is frequently used in some offices even from the first round.

Hope this helps!

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Clara
Coach
on Jun 08, 2020
McKinsey | Awarded professor at Master in Management @ IE | MBA at MIT |+180 students coached | Integrated FIT Guide aut

Hello!

Yes, but they are embebbed in cases, not just by themselves. 

Hope it helps!

Cheers,

Clara

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Coach
on Jun 29, 2020
FREE 1st session in November | From Lawyer to MBB | Top in FIT | 10x your structuring skills | Message to get Free Prep Checklist

Hi,

Yes, market sizing questions are still widely used! I ran a specific course on market sizing and would be happy to help.

You should first focus on you segmentation skills:

B2C:
- Demographics (Age, education, income, family size, race, gender, occupation, nationality)
- Behavioral (Purchasing behavior, customer journey stage, occasion & timing,
customer loyalty & interest, risk tolerance, user status) 
- Psychographic (Lifestyle, personality traits, values, opinions, interests of consumers) 
- Geographic (Geographical boundaries)

B2B:
- Company characteristics (Industry, company size, number of employees)
- Geography (Geographical boundaries)
- Purchasing Approach (Occasion & timing, customer capabilities, nature of existing relationship) 
- Personal Characteristics (Loyalty, risk attitude, user status)

B2G:
- Demographics  (Type of agency, size of budget, the amount of autonomy) 
- Geographic (Geographical boundaries) 
- Government Tier (Federal , State, Local, Quasi-governmental, International)
- Bid type (Closed, Open)

But sometimes you don’t need to segmentation. Here is an example of case that could be solved with high level top down approach - estimate the size of credit card market in the US:

https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-should-i-approach-the-following-question-estimate-the-market-size-of-credit-cards-in-the-us-6695

Best,

Anton

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Related Article
Market Sizing
Questions about market size are frequently asked in case interviews in consulting because they require a blend of logic, mathematics, and common sense. They can be asked as standalone questions or as part of a larger case. Applicants who are familiar with market sizing questions can really perform here. What Are Market Sizing Cases?If you're applying to top consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain, you're unlikely to escape a market estimation case. Market sizing cases are considered "back-of-the-envelope" calculations because they can be done on the back of an envelope. Despite the name, it's not just about estimating market sizes; other estimations may also be asked for.For example, if you're discussing a British clothing retailer's growth strategy, you could calculate on an envelope how large the online clothing market is and what percentage of the market the retailer already penetrates. If you perform these calculations quickly, the conversation with the client stays fluid, leaving a good impression.You can receive the question about market size as a standalone case (although this is less common) or as part of a more comprehensive problem, such as market entry. The good news: There's no right or wrong answer when it comes to the question of market size. The interviewer is less concerned about the specific number you come up with for the market than the approach you took to arrive at that number. Why Are Market Sizing Cases Commonly Used in Consulting Interviews?Market Sizing Cases are used to test your quantitative and logical abilities. The interviewer wants to ascertain whether you work well with numbers and if you can make informed assumptions and deal with ambiguities. Questions about market size aren't just about the size of markets; they also involve other types of estimations, such as the number of golf balls in a jumbo jet. As you may have noticed, math is crucial in tackling these questions since you don't have a calculator to rely on. Most importantly, you need to be comfortable dealing with large numbers like millions and billions as well as percentages. More on that later. How Do You Best Approach Market Sizing Cases?Now that we understand the theory behind Market Sizing Cases and their relevance to your case interview, let's take a closer look at the process.Segmentation – The Key to Market Sizing CasesIf you've done some reading on case interviews before delving into market sizing questions, you might have come across areas where segmentation is necessary. Segmenting data is a crucial skill you must master as both a candidate in a case interview and in your later career as a consultant. Segmentation generally refers to dividing a larger whole into smaller parts or segments. The principle you need to understand to do this correctly is the MECE principle.MECE stands for "mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive." Simply put, segmenting a group of data according to the MECE principle means forming subgroups that do not overlap but collectively cover the entirety of the data, meaning no data is missing. An example useful for market sizing questions is dividing a country's population into age groups (as different age groups often behave differently).Below is a breakdown into Group 1 in the age range 0 to 14, Group 2 in the age range 15 to 64, and Group 3 for everyone over 65: Note that none of the groups overlap, so no age is counted twice, but also no age is overlooked. Now that the population is correctly segmented, we can treat each group differently. If we had divided the population of the United Kingdom into the aforementioned groups, we could estimate clothing expenditures per person in these groups in online retail. Common sense suggests that expenditures per person in the 0-14 age group are lower than in the 15-64 age group. We can justify this estimation by noting that the majority of 0-14-year-olds do not purchase their clothing online. 
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