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5 yr compound annual growth rate

what does this mean? if 5 yr cagr = 9%, does this mean the growth rate for 5 years is going to stay at 9%?

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Agrim
Coach
edited on Oct 06, 2021
#1 Awarded Coach | BCG Dubai Project Leader | Master Casing in only 3 Hours | 10y in Consulting | Free Intro Call

CAGR is Compounded Annual Growth Rate. It means:

“what was the equivalent rate of growth G across X years, if the value grew by G% consistently across all X years”

Hence - CAGR only depends on the start and end points.

Here is an image showing 3 different types of growth - each with the same CAGR - but completely different growth pattern.

-1633549133-lcuzd5yw5lz5.png
Ian
Coach
on Oct 06, 2021
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

Hi there,

It means that each year, it will grow by 9%.

So, if I have $100 today, next year it will be $109. The following year it will be $118.81 (9% growth on the $109).

Make sense?

Hagen
Coach
on Oct 06, 2021
#1 recommended coach | >95% success rate | 8+ years consulting, 8+ years coaching and 7+ years interviewing experience

Hi there,

This is indeed an interesting question which is probably relevant for quite a lot of users, so I am happy to provide my perspective on it:

  • First of all, I would advise you to read the articles on PrepLounge on the CAGR to understand the general concept.
  • In your specific situation, it means that over the course of the last/ next 5 years, on average, the metric has increased/ will increase by 9% p.a. Still, the metric might increase by more or less than 9% - the CAGR simply helps you get a better feeling if volatility is high and you study a long period of time. 

In case you want a more detailed discussion on what other mathematical concepts to know in preparation for your upcoming consulting interviews, please feel free to contact me directly.

I hope this helps,

Hagen

Pedro
Coach
on Oct 06, 2021
Bain | EY-Parthenon | Former Principal | 1.5h session | 30% discount 1st session

It means that the “average” rate in those 5 years will be 9%, but the rate in each year within those 5 years may be different (ex. 11%-11%-9%-9%-5.107%)

on Oct 06, 2021
McKinsey | NASA | top 10 FT MBA professor for consulting interviews | 6+ years of coaching

Hi!

Interesting question!

Have a look at the articles here on PrepLounge that give you more information about CAGR and other common mathematical/financial knowledge to have for your interview.

Best,

Anto

edited on Nov 30, 2021
Former BCG | Case author for efellows book | Experience in 6 consultancies (Stern Stewart, Capgemini, KPMG, VW Con., Hor

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