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5 yr compound annual growth rate

what does this mean? if 5 yr cagr = 9%, does this mean the growth rate for 5 years is going to stay at 9%?

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Agrim
Coach
edited on Oct 6, 2021
ELITE Prep | BCG Dubai Project Leader | Top Coach | 3hrs Case Mastery | 10y+ Consulting | Free Counselling

CAGR is Compounded Annual Growth Rate. It means:

“what was the equivalent rate of growth G across X years, if the value grew by G% consistently across all X years”

Hence - CAGR only depends on the start and end points.

Here is an image showing 3 different types of growth - each with the same CAGR - but completely different growth pattern.

-1633549133-lcuzd5yw5lz5.png
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Ian
Coach
on Oct 6, 2021
Ex-BCG | NYU Stern | MBB, Tech, & Strategy Coach | 5,000+ Sessions | 500+ Offers | 1,000+ Candidates | 100+ Countries

Hi there,

It means that each year, it will grow by 9%.

So, if I have $100 today, next year it will be $109. The following year it will be $118.81 (9% growth on the $109).

Make sense?

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Hagen
Coach
on Oct 6, 2021
Globally top-ranked MBB coach | >95% success rate | 9+ years consulting, interviewing and coaching experience

Hi there,

This is indeed an interesting question which is probably relevant for quite a lot of users, so I am happy to provide my perspective on it:

  • First of all, I would advise you to read the articles on PrepLounge on the CAGR to understand the general concept.
  • In your specific situation, it means that over the course of the last/ next 5 years, on average, the metric has increased/ will increase by 9% p.a. Still, the metric might increase by more or less than 9% - the CAGR simply helps you get a better feeling if volatility is high and you study a long period of time. 

In case you want a more detailed discussion on what other mathematical concepts to know in preparation for your upcoming consulting interviews, please feel free to contact me directly.

I hope this helps,

Hagen

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Pedro
Coach
on Oct 6, 2021
BAIN | EY-Parthenon | Roland Berger | Former Principal | FIT & PEI Expert

It means that the “average” rate in those 5 years will be 9%, but the rate in each year within those 5 years may be different (ex. 11%-11%-9%-9%-5.107%)

Profile picture of Antonello
on Oct 6, 2021
McKinsey | NASA | top 10 FT MBA professor for consulting interviews | 7+ years of coaching

Hi!

Interesting question!

Have a look at the articles here on PrepLounge that give you more information about CAGR and other common mathematical/financial knowledge to have for your interview.

Best,

Anto

Profile picture of Marco-Alexander
edited on Nov 30, 2021
Former BCG | Case author for efellows book | Experience in 6 consultancies (Stern Stewart, Capgemini, KPMG, VW Con., Hor

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