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Market Sizing (Case interview)

Market sizing Strategy case solving
New answer on Mar 01, 2022
4 Answers
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Jay asked on Feb 25, 2022

I have been practicing the replacement theory but also wanted to reach out and ask if anyone had any additional tips or guidance on this subject as I prepare?

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Pedro
Expert
replied on Feb 26, 2022
Bain | Roland Berger | EY-Parthenon | Mentoring Approach | 30% off first 10 sessions in May| Market Sizing | DARDEN MBA

On market sizing, or on the replacement theory? 

The “replacement theory” is just a small tool within market sizing (and honestly I don't find it intuitive at all).

If it is about market sizing here you have a couple of useful links:
https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/market-sizing-approach-12396

https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-do-you-estimate-the-1-year-annual-sale-of-a-small-corner-coffee-shop-12123

https://www.preplounge.com/en/management-consulting-cases/brain-teaser/intermediate/taxis-in-manhattan-market-sizing-229

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Jay on Feb 26, 2022

Pedro, Thank you for your comment. Apologies for not clarifying my question, but I was referring to market sizing overall. As you mentioned, "replacement theory" is a tool within market sizing. Thank you for the links. Very helpful.

Ian
Expert
Content Creator
replied on Feb 26, 2022
#1 BCG coach | MBB | Tier 2 | Digital, Tech, Platinion | 100% personal success rate (8/8) | 95% candidate success rate

Hi Jay,

By replacement theory do you mean when you think about the lifespan of a product?

Quite simply, you just need to figure out how many years that item lasts, then divide by that to get the annual replacement.

You can do this for cars, appliances, bed, etc. and you can also do it for “human” factors such as for marriages, illnesses, etc.

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Jay on Feb 26, 2022

Ian, thank you for your response. It was about market sizing overall, as well as using replacement theory within the structure of market sizing.

Moritz
Expert
Content Creator
replied on Feb 26, 2022
ex-McKinsey EM & Interviewer | 7/8 offer rate for 4+ sessions | 90min sessions with FREE exercises & videos

Hey there,

Don’t overcomplicate things!

First time I hear about this theory - same as some other seasoned ex-consultants it seems.

This alone tells me that you might not want to use it in a case, unless it’s really intuitive and easy to understand and, most importantly, appropriate for the problem at hand.

I recommend focusing your energy on developing great custom approaches yourself through fit for purpose MECE frameworks. If you master this key skill, you’re nearly there.

Let me know if this is something you‘re interested in discussing. Best of luck!

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Clara
Expert
Content Creator
replied on Mar 01, 2022
McKinsey | Awarded professor at Master in Management @ IE | MBA at MIT |+180 students coached | Integrated FIT Guide aut

Hello!

Happy that you ask!  Given that market sizing cases were the topic of many questions in this Forum, I developped a market sizing case, that you can find for free in PrepL´s library

https://www.preplounge.com/en/management-consulting-cases/candidate-led-usual-style/intermediate/market-sizing-new-startup-launch-baby-strollers-in-the-us-244

Let me know if you have any doubts with it, it contains a detailed explanation and methodology about how to solve this specific example, but you can extrapolate to many other market sizings!

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Jay on Mar 02, 2022

Hi Clara, Thank you for your feedback. It is greatly appreciated, as I will follow the link that you provided.

Pedro gave the best answer

Pedro

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Bain | Roland Berger | EY-Parthenon | Mentoring Approach | 30% off first 10 sessions in May| Market Sizing | DARDEN MBA
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