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Convert amount of volume to increase profit, how to do?

improving profitability
New answer on May 17, 2023
5 Answers
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Francesca asked on May 13, 2023

Hi everyone,

I had a case that I would like to bring to the attention of the community.

Our client sells 3 lines of cognac - low, medium and high quality. 

Low , avg price of 10$, volumes of 25m and profit margin of 10%

Medium, avg price of 20$, volumes of 2m and profit margin of 20%

High, avg price of 50$, volumes of 0.5m and profit margin of 30%

How many bottles of low line of cognac we need to convert into medium to get a +10% increase in profit?

Thankssssss

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Francesco
Expert
Content Creator
replied on May 14, 2023
#1 Coach for Sessions (4.500+) | 1.500+ 5-Star Reviews | Proven Success (➡ interviewoffers.com) | Ex BCG | 10Y+ Coaching

Hi Francesca,

Q: How many bottles of low line of cognac we need to convert into medium to get a +10% increase in profit?

Let’s divide this into steps. We need to:

  1. Calculate the target in profits in absolute amount
  2. Calculate the # of low-quality bottles to convert to medium, taking into account the decrease in profits for the low line and the increase in medium

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1. Target profits

First, let’s calculate the goal. We need to increase profits by 10% so we need to calculate the profits to find the target:

  • Low line profits → 10*0.1*25M = $25M
  • Medium line profits → 20*0.2*2M = $8M
  • High line → 50*0.3*0.5M = $7.5M

Total profits: $40.5M. Goal: $4.05M

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2. # of low-quality bottles to convert to medium

From the data:

  • Profit per bottle of low-quality cognac → 10*0.1 = $1
  • Profit per bottle of medium-quality cognac → 20*0.2 =$4

This means that if you convert a low-quality bottle to medium, you get 4-1 = $3 in extra profits taking into account the cannibalization.

Therefore the number of bottles to convert is equal to:

4.05M/3 = 1.35M

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Hope this helps,

Francesco

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Anonymous updated the answer on May 13, 2023

Dear Francesca,

To solve, the quantity of low-line Cognac that needs to be converted to medium-line Cognac to achieve an extra 10% of Profit Margin across the entire portfolio, you need to proceed linearly to:

A] Reference Quantity:
What is the baseline level of Profits from which we must proceed?

B] Algebraic Solution:
What is the quantitative logic to proceed from the baseline to calculate the quantity being sought.

But, first, let me state my assumption that units sold are per bottle.

A] Reference Quantity: what are Profits today?
This is the baseline level on which the 10% increase is sought.
We get there by proceeding linearly from the supplied data:

1) Sales Quantity by Product Line

  1. 25M Low-Line bottles
  2. 2M Medium-Line bottles
  3. 0.5M High-Line bottles

2) Average Unit Sales Price by Product Line

  1. $10 for each Low-Line bottle
  2. $20 for each Medium-Line bottle
  3. $50 for each High-Line bottle

And by extension, we now know:

3) Revenue by Product Line

This is given by multiplying Sales Quantity by Average Sales Price.
This we obtain by multiplying 1) & 2) at each Product Line:

  1. Revenue for Low-Line bottles = 25M x $10 = $250M
  2. Revenue for Medium-Line bottles = 2M x $20 = $40M
  3. Revenue for High-Line bottles = 0.5M x $50 = $25M

...and by extension

4) Profits by Product Line.
This is the application of the per-Product Line Profit Margins of:

  1. 10% for LL
  2. 20% for ML
  3. 30% for HL

This is given by multiplying Revenue by Product Line by Profit Margin per Product Line.
This we obtain by multiplying 3) & 4) at each Product Line:

  1. Profit for LL = $250M × 10% = $25M
  2. Profit for ML = $40M x 20% = $8M
  3. Profit for HL = $25M x 30% = $7.5M

And by extension, we further know:

5) Total Profits across all 3 Product Lines.
This is the sum of Profits for LL + Ptofits for ML + Profits for HL = $25M + $8M + $7.5M = $40.5M.

Therefore, $40.5M of Profits today is the baseline number over which we seek a 10% increase in Profits by adjusting Sales of LL and ML.

Let us proceed to Part B.

B] What is the algebraic expression that quantitatively alters sales quantities of LL & ML to increase A] by 10%?
We know that the algebra must incorporate:

  1. New Profit from LL from New Sales Quantity of LL as reduced by X bottles
  2. New Profit from ML from New Sales Quantity of ML as increased by X bottles (see i) above)
  3. Old Profit from HL
  4. Total Profits from Part A (see above)
  5. Total Profits Increase by 10%

Therefore:

New Profits from New Sales Quantity of LL + 
New Profits from New Sales Quantity of ML + Old Profits from HL

 = 

Old Total Profits across (LL + ML + HL) × (100% + 10%)

Well,

New Profits from New Sales Quantity of LL
=
New Sales Quantity × Old Average Unit Sales Price × Old Profit Margin
= [(25M - X) x $10 × 10%]

and

New Profits from New Sales Quantity of ML
=
New Sales Quantity × Old Average Unit Sales Price × Old Profit Margin
=
[(2M + X) x $20 × 20%]

Therefore:

New Profits from New Sales Quantity of LL + New Profits from New Sales Quantity of ML + Old Profits from HL

 = 

Old Total Profits across (LL + ML + HL) × (100% + 10%).

translates to:

[(25M - X) x $10 × 10%] + [(2M + X) x $20 × 20%] + $7.5M

Old Total Profits across (LL + ML + HL) × (100% + 10%)

So,

[(25M - X) x $10 × 10%] + [(2M + X) x $20 × 20%] + $7.5M = $40.5M x 110%.

SOLVE FOR X.

[(25M - X) x $10 × 10%] + [(2M + X) x $20 × 20%] + $7.5M = $44.55M

Which is...

[(25M - X) x $1] + [(2M + X) x $4] + $7.5M = $44.55M

Which is...

($25M - $X) + ($8M + $4X) + $7.5M = $44.55M

Which is...

  • $25M - $X + $8M + $4X + $7.5M = $44.55M; Or
  • $3X + $40.5M = $44.55M; Or
  • $3X = $4.05M

And, X = $4.05M/$3
(The dollar sign cancels out affirming X is in Units)


And X = 1.35 million units.

Therefore, we must convert 1.35 million units of LL Cognac into ML Cognac to raise Profits across the entire Product porfolio by 10%, all other conditions held the same.

But, do the numbers work?
Let's see.

If we are converting 1.35 million units of LL Cognac to ML Cognac, it means we are now selling:

1) (25M - 1.35M) bottles of LL or 23.65M bottles
and
2) (2M + 1.35M) bottles ML Cognac or 3.35M bottles.

Therefore new LL Profits are:
23.65M × $10 × 10% = $23.65M
and new ML Profits are:
3.35M × $20 × 20% = $13.4M

Do New LL Profits + New ML Profits + Old HL Profits = Old Profits across all 3 Lines + $4.05M?

Does $23.65M + $13.4M + $7.5M = $40.5 + $4.05M

Yes.

Curious why you posed the question, though: is it part of a larger Prep strategy, or...?

(edited)

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Anonymous A replied on May 13, 2023

 [ Profit (new) - profit (old) ] / profit (old) = 10%

Profit new = [10 * (25-x) * 0.1] + [20*(2+x) * 0.2] + [50*0.5*0.3] 

Profit (old) = 10*25*0.1 + 20*2*0.2 + 50*0.5*0.3

X=volume send from low to medium

Just solve for x and you have your answer

 

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9
Ian
Expert
Content Creator
replied on May 15, 2023
#1 BCG coach | MBB | Tier 2 | Digital, Tech, Platinion | 100% personal success rate (8/8) | 95% candidate success rate

Hi Francesca,

Tyrion and Francesco gave great answers here!

Just remember this is a breakeven question which is probably the most type of question in cases. Breakeven comes in many forms.

Critically, when figuring out any math in a case, get organized. The 1st step is to set things up at the highest level, and work your way down.

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Sofia
Expert
replied on May 17, 2023
Top-Ranked Coach on PrepLounge for 3 years| McKinsey San Francisco | Harvard graduate | 6+ years of coaching

Hi Francesca,

Looks like you're covered on the math here, but just a quick note to say - make sure you walk through the explanations and understand the calculations well! This type of problem comes up a lot in case interviews, so it's crucial to make sure you know how to solve it.

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