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Anonymous A
on Apr 30, 2021
Global
I want to receive updates regarding this question via email.

World Market size of luxury stereo systems

Dear all,

How would you approach the question "what is the world market size of luxury stereo systems?"

What are relevant assumptions here?

Many thanks in advance!

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Top answer
Antonello
Coach
on Apr 30, 2021
McKinsey | NASA | top 10 FT MBA professor for consulting interviews | 6+ years of coaching

Hi, I would frame it dividing the problem into 2+ parts, after clarifying with the interviewer (e.g. home stereo systems, car stereo, ...). For instance, about the car stereo I would imagine to structure it like a penetration on the premium and luxury segment {e.g. estimate n. of cars, % of the premium (20%?) and its luxury stereo penetration (20%?), % of the luxury (3%?) and its luxury stereo penetration (80%?)}. What do you think?

I would like to suggest similar cases in the platform to practice with:

  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-much-would-you-charge-to-clean-all-the-windows-in-seattle-4965
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/market-sizing-milk-consumption-5087
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/how-would-you-calculate-the-value-of-a-cow-4982
  • https://www.preplounge.com/en/consulting-forum/estimate-number-of-traffic-lights-in-a-london-5692

Hope it helps,
Antonello

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1 comment
Anonymous A
on Apr 30, 2021
Hi! That makes totally sense for the car stereos, thanks a lot! But how would you go for home stereos as well as stereos in bars/restaurants/clubs considering the whole WORLD market. That is not clear to me. Many thanks!
Ian
Coach
edited on Apr 30, 2021
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

Hi there,

I see from your comments in the prior answers that your main concern is regarding the "world" aspect of this sizing.

If you would like to take your previously provided response for a country, you can then extrapolate it! Here's what it looks like:

1) Answer from your country estimates (let's say the US) = x

2) Breakdown of world

  • Western Europe = x
  • Eastern Europe + Russia = .5x (about the same pop but less developed)
  • Central + S America = .5x (about the same pop but less developed)
  • India = x (much larger but much less developed)
  • China = 1.5x (much larger but less developed)
  • East Asia = 2x (same size and about as developed)
  • SE East = .5x (same size and less developed)
  • Africa = .5x (much larger but much less developed)

So, you can estimate your answer to be the # for the US times 7.5 :)

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1 comment
Anonymous A
on Apr 30, 2021
Thanks so much for the hint, very helpful! But what about the factor of stereo systems used by bars/restaurants/cafes/clubs? How would you approach the sizing here? Thanks so much for your help!
Clara
Coach
on Apr 30, 2021
McKinsey | Awarded professor at Master in Management @ IE | MBA at MIT |+180 students coached | Integrated FIT Guide aut

Hello!

I would always recommend you to give it a shot and then post it here, this would help you the most. 

This is a very typical market sizing case, where the key steps are: 

Calculate the total population

Calculate the % of population that could be interested in this product (this could be done by clustering -the classical ones are age groups, purchaching power, etc.-)

Calculate the % of the total adressable market that any firm in particular could have -in case it´s asked only-. 

Hope it helps!

Cheers, 

Clara

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0 comments
Deleted user
on Apr 30, 2021

Hi A!

Why don't you practice and present your approach? Than we can comment and make suggestions?

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2 comments
Anonymous A
on Apr 30, 2021
I would love to, but I am a bit frustrated with this one as I really do not know how to approach this question. I would highly appreciate your help!
Anonymous
on Apr 30, 2021
Hi Henning, I thought of it in the following way: the drivers of the market in terms of value would be A) private customers and B) bars, restaurants, clubs using luxury stereo systems. I could make assumptions about the private users by dividing the population of a country into age buckets and allocating shares of having a stereo system. But I am not sure how to incorporate the WORLD market in this and do not know how I would make reasonable assumptions about the bars/restaurants/clubs having luxury stereo systems. Can you help with this please?
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Questions about market size are frequently asked in case interviews in consulting because they require a blend of logic, mathematics, and common sense. They can be asked as standalone questions or as part of a larger case. Applicants who are familiar with market sizing questions can really perform here. What Are Market Sizing Cases?If you're applying to top consulting firms like McKinsey, BCG, or Bain, you're unlikely to escape a market estimation case. Market sizing cases are considered "back-of-the-envelope" calculations because they can be done on the back of an envelope. Despite the name, it's not just about estimating market sizes; other estimations may also be asked for.For example, if you're discussing a British clothing retailer's growth strategy, you could calculate on an envelope how large the online clothing market is and what percentage of the market the retailer already penetrates. If you perform these calculations quickly, the conversation with the client stays fluid, leaving a good impression.You can receive the question about market size as a standalone case (although this is less common) or as part of a more comprehensive problem, such as market entry. The good news: There's no right or wrong answer when it comes to the question of market size. The interviewer is less concerned about the specific number you come up with for the market than the approach you took to arrive at that number. Why Are Market Sizing Cases Commonly Used in Consulting Interviews?Market Sizing Cases are used to test your quantitative and logical abilities. The interviewer wants to ascertain whether you work well with numbers and if you can make informed assumptions and deal with ambiguities. Questions about market size aren't just about the size of markets; they also involve other types of estimations, such as the number of golf balls in a jumbo jet. As you may have noticed, math is crucial in tackling these questions since you don't have a calculator to rely on. Most importantly, you need to be comfortable dealing with large numbers like millions and billions as well as percentages. More on that later. How Do You Best Approach Market Sizing Cases?Now that we understand the theory behind Market Sizing Cases and their relevance to your case interview, let's take a closer look at the process.Segmentation – The Key to Market Sizing CasesIf you've done some reading on case interviews before delving into market sizing questions, you might have come across areas where segmentation is necessary. Segmenting data is a crucial skill you must master as both a candidate in a case interview and in your later career as a consultant. Segmentation generally refers to dividing a larger whole into smaller parts or segments. The principle you need to understand to do this correctly is the MECE principle.MECE stands for "mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive." Simply put, segmenting a group of data according to the MECE principle means forming subgroups that do not overlap but collectively cover the entirety of the data, meaning no data is missing. An example useful for market sizing questions is dividing a country's population into age groups (as different age groups often behave differently).Below is a breakdown into Group 1 in the age range 0 to 14, Group 2 in the age range 15 to 64, and Group 3 for everyone over 65: Note that none of the groups overlap, so no age is counted twice, but also no age is overlooked. Now that the population is correctly segmented, we can treat each group differently. If we had divided the population of the United Kingdom into the aforementioned groups, we could estimate clothing expenditures per person in these groups in online retail. Common sense suggests that expenditures per person in the 0-14 age group are lower than in the 15-64 age group. We can justify this estimation by noting that the majority of 0-14-year-olds do not purchase their clothing online. 
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