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What's the probability of passing a MBB final round?

What's the probability of passing a MBB final round? Is it higher than the first round? (I know it varies a lot but just want to get a sense)

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Top answer
Ian
Coach
on Oct 07, 2021
Top US BCG / MBB Coach - 5,000 sessions |Tech, Platinion, Big 4 | 9/9 personal interviews passed | 95% candidate success

Hi there,

The general rule is that if you've passed the first round you “have what it takes”. The company has essentially said “We think this person is a good fit, but we just need to do our due diligence”.

I'd say the odds of passing the first round are generally lower than passing the final, but it does depend on company, office, and time period.

That said, it literally doesn't matter! Focus on doing the best you can be and worry about the things you can control (i.e. your performance) :)

Good luck!

Deleted user
on Oct 07, 2021

You are in the final stages, so obviously things are looking good.

But why bother with all this speculation, probability etc? Just focus on giving your best, enjoy the interview and dont worry about the outcome. Let things happen.

All the best.

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Pedro
Coach
on Oct 07, 2021
Bain | EY-Parthenon | Senior Coach | Principal | Recruiting Team Leader

Much higher, as most people don't pass the first round. If you make it to the final round its because you most likely know to to “crack” case interviews. Last round is mostly about FIT (remember that fit is also assessed during the case interview part) and long term potential.

Anonymous B
on Oct 07, 2021

For McKinsey, the ratios are actually quite similar. Yes, most candidates who reach final round are good enough to do the job but they also have the luxury of being selective!

10
on Oct 13, 2023
Ex-BCG Principal | 8+ years consulting experience in SEA | BCG top interviewer & top performer

Hi,

This is something that you shouldn't be focusing on - but happy to share some rough statistics based on my time as an interviewer at BCG. I too was very curious about this. Drop me a dm.

Agrim
Coach
on Oct 22, 2021
Top Awarded Coach | BCG Dubai Project Leader | Master Casing in only 3 Hours | 10y in Consulting | Free Intro Call

Final rounds should statistically have a higher selection rate since a major chunk of candidates would be already rejected in the first rounds.

Again, this is only speculation - however it should not impact your preparation in any manner since selection is generally not done in a relative manner.