Market sizing: Estimate the number of car in a city?

Market sizing
New answer on Aug 27, 2019
1 Answer
3.7 k Views
Kiga asked on Aug 26, 2019

Overview of answers

Upvotes
  • Upvotes
  • Date ascending
  • Date descending
Best answer
Paul
Expert
replied on Aug 27, 2019
Project Leader at BCG - 5 years consulting experience|Coached 300+ candidates |Interviewer at BCG | 2nd Session free

Hi Kiga,

one possible approach (top down approach - you can also go bottom up).

First clarify the perimeter of the market sizing e.g.

- Only privately-owned cars vs. taxis, professional vehicle included

Then

1) Estimate population of the city in question

2) Estimate the number of families in the city using an hypothesis about the avg. number of people per family in the relevant country (is car-sharing between family members is significant in the country at hand - behaviours can change a lot across the world)

3) Now use an hypothesis about the % of families who own a car, two cars, three cars etc..

4) Then sum up the # of cars that you obtain

First level approach, can be further "deep-dived", if need be.

Hope it helps.

Paolo

Was this answer helpful?
Paul gave the best answer

Paul

Project Leader at BCG - 5 years consulting experience|Coached 300+ candidates |Interviewer at BCG | 2nd Session free
14
Meetings
52
Q&A Upvotes
0
Awards
10 Reviews