Context of Case
A private equity firm is evaluating an investment in a coffee chain (similar to Starbucks) in India. The key questions were:
- Whether to invest
- Whether the projected revenue growth (from ~₹230 Cr to ~₹1250 Cr in ~5 years) is achievable
My Approach (Structure)
I approached the case across four buckets:
- Market (TAM, growth drivers, seasonality, regulatory factors)
- Competition (market concentration, substitutes, pricing power)
- Customer (target segment, repeat behavior, purchase criteria)
- Business Plan (bottleneck, unit economics, op ex vs cap ex,management)
Market Sizing Approach
- Segmented population into urban vs semi-urban (higher income segments)
- Focused on 18–60 age group
- Estimated percentage of customers likely to visit premium coffee chains
- Assumed average ticket size (~₹300 urban)
- Arrived at an approximate TAM of ~₹10,000 Cr
Key Business Insights Considered
- Revenue is likely driven more by price than volume (premium positioning)
- Customer experience (ambience, time spent) is a key differentiator
- Higher dwell time (~1–1.5 hours) limits throughput
- Capacity constraints driven by tables, seating, and machines
Business Plan Analysis
- Identified bottlenecks: seating capacity, machine throughput, customer dwell time
- Highlighted trade-off between price vs volume
- Considered expansion levers:
- Capex (new store expansion)
- Opex (menu expansion, increasing ticket size)
- Discussed unit economics conceptually (CAC vs LTV, margins)
Conclusion
- Investment decision depends on maintaining premium perception
- Growth would require either increasing customer spend or expanding capacity
- If perception weakens, pricing power may be impacted
Feedback Received
The interviewer mentioned that they liked my structure but suggested practicing more cases to improve analysis depth.
Areas where I would appreciate your feedback
- Is my overall structure appropriate for such cases?
- Where does my analysis fall short (depth, quantification, prioritization)?
- How can I better translate business concepts into a more decision-oriented answer?
- What would differentiate a “good” vs “strong” answer in this case?
Would really appreciate your honest feedback.
Thanks in advance!