Hi, I would like to know how you would approach to the case: “estimate the average car insurance cost in italy"
Which variables should it include.
The structure I can think of is:
- number of incidents:
- I would start top down by calculating population,
- average number of house holds,
- the number of cars per house,
- the frequency of incidents per car multiplied by the number of cars circulating
- cost of the damage:
- I would estimate the % of low, medium, high car models
- assigning an average price car per range by considering population income ranges.
- Then I would consider 3 different level of incidents: low, medium, hard
- assign them a different weight (of frequency)
- I would estimate the cost of each incident based on the car ranges
- I would weight it based on the frequency
Very interesting also the discussion about the premium. When considering the premium cost, how would you structure it?
I know that several factors may influence it, such as age, city, type of car, car age, credit score, incidents backgrounds, etc... But I don't find it very easy to assess a premium cost only based on these factors.