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I'm working on a case study, the aim is to predict the house prices over the next 10 years in US using MECE framework.

consulting McKinsey MECE MECE Principle
Neue Antwort am 31. Aug. 2022
5 Antworten
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Anonym A fragte am 1. Mai 2021

Since I have just started reading about MECE. It would be great if I could get some help.

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Ian
Experte
Content Creator
bearbeitete eine Antwort am 2. Mai 2021
#1 BCG coach | MBB | Tier 2 | Digital, Tech, Platinion | 100% personal success rate (8/8) | 95% candidate success rate

Hi there,

Is this a market sizing or a case? The reason is I ask, is this feels very much like a market sizing (where you'd use a top-down approach). That said, regardless, I'd generally think about this problem in the same way as Henning has i.e.:

Supply

What is the rate of new home construction? How much is this expected to change?

Demand

How much is demand increasing, at what rate, and how do we expect that to change?

A few key aspects to look at include:

  • US Population + new home purchasing (increasing somewhat)
  • US Population + Investment in housing (increasing substantially)
  • Foreign population + investment in housing (increasing substaintially)
  • Historical price rises (generally around 3-5% per annum)
  • Current and project Federal Reserve interest rate (0% now but likely 1-2% in a few years)
  • Building materials costs (rising dramatically)

(editiert)

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Henning
Experte
antwortete am 2. Mai 2021
Bain | passed >15 MBB interviews as a candidate

Certainly multiple different approaches, my first one would be:

  • Supply
    • How many houses existing, how many newly built per year (net), split by reasonable geographic units (coastal cities, in-land cities, in-land rural)
  • Demand
    • Development of population, development of household sizes, demographic shifts from rural to cities

With that you could project development of supply and demand per region and project price developments.

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Antonello
Experte
Content Creator
antwortete am 2. Mai 2021
McKinsey | NASA | top 10 FT MBA professor for consulting interviews | 6+ years of coaching

Hi, I agree in dividing in two main blocks your frame: demand and capacity

Best,
Antonello

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Simon
Experte
Content Creator
antwortete am 31. Aug. 2022
50+ successful coachings / Ex-Mckinsey JEM & Interviewer / Industry + Engineering background

Dear A,

in general a good structure can be evaluated by a certain depth and breadth. The “depth” should be at least 3-4 levels while the “breadth” should cover the entire solution space. You can cross-check this with the MECE principles (For details see respective article on Preplounge), but the CE (collectively exhaustive) part is basically defining your breadth.

Finally, make sure to check for inter-linkages in your structure and point them out.

Simon

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Anonym B antwortete am 29. Jan. 2022

If you have this PROJECT can you share it with me please as i have  same project and i don't know anything about MECE .So kindly please help me

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Anonym C am 22. Dez. 2022

Hi have you done this project, as I have the same one, can you share it with me?

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